Dogecoin’s $1 Dream: Analyst Reveals When It Could Finally Happen

Dogecoin’s price swung sharply higher last week, jumping from under $0.169 on May 8 to just over $0.248 by May 12. That’s a 35% gain in seven days. Traders and investors are watching closely, as some charts and on‑chain data point to more upside ahead.

Breakout Above Long‑Term Barrier

According to chart watchers on X, Dogecoin cleared a descending trendline that’s been capping gains since January 2025. That line had knocked back rallies around $0.43, $0.19 and $0.16. Now, with prices trading above it, some see a fresh floor under DOGE’s price action.

Ichimoku Cloud Turns Support

Based on data, the Ichimoku cloud has flipped bullish. After the price moved above the cloud, the green span settled above the red. For many traders, that shift turns what was once resistance into a cushion for future climbs.

Analysts have also plotted Fibonacci extensions on the recent move. The 1.619 level sits at $0.69 and the 2.0 level at $0.81. If Dogecoin follows that path, these lines could mark key stopovers on the road up.

$DOGE 1D – The technical fib target for Dogecoin is the green box above with this daily breakout occuring.

I’m calling for $1 $DOGE because I think it will extend higher to that psych level.

All of this happens by the end of summer, imo. pic.twitter.com/V3rvmre1HR

— Chris (@StonkChris) May 13, 2025

One independent analyst has mapped out a timeline pushing DOGE to $1 by the “end of summer” this year. That would require a whopping 320% rise from its current $0.2317 price. If it happens, market value could swell to almost $150 billion, up from roughly $34.5 billion today. DOGE’s market cap rose 3.4% over the past 24 hours alone.

On‑chain figures back the buzz. New addresses have climbed over 100% in a week, active wallets are up 110%, and zero‑balance addresses jumped 154%. Those moves hint at growing retail interest and wider engagement beyond quick trades.

Meanwhile, futures open interest on Dogecoin has surged from $989 million to $1.62 billion. That’s a strong shift compared to mid‑February through April, when futures heat and DOGE’s price rose and fell together. Now, open interest keeps climbing despite a pullback from $0.25 to around $0.22.

Studies last year showed that Dogecoin could hit $1 and push its market cap near $100 billion in 2025. Another market watcher has tracked a cup‑and‑handle pattern forming since 2021, and uses it to project a $0.80 price target.

Momentum is clearly building, but history warns against getting too carried away. Trendlines can be broken on low volume and bounce back into place. Fibonacci levels offer guidance, not guarantees. And on‑chain spikes sometimes come from short‑term bots or wash trading.

That said, a clear move above these technical hurdles could open the door to bigger swings. Risk management remains crucial.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView